What Does the Future Hold at Magic Kingdom?
After more than 50 years in operation, Magic Kingdom officials are preparing for unprecedented changes.
Imagineers will soon modernize a park that has largely looked the same since 1971.
Since Magic Kingdom is the most popular theme park in the world, it’s a huge gambit, albeit one with potentially huge benefits.
So, what does the future hold at Magic Kingdom? Let’s examine Disney’s daring move to secure its future.
The Business of Magic Kingdom
According to the Themed Entertainment Association, 17.7 million guests visited Magic Kingdom in 2023.
That number reflects the largest number of tourists since the pandemic’s beginning, although it’s still well short of the park’s record.
In 2019, nearly 21 million guests visited Magic Kingdom, underscoring its tremendous popularity worldwide.
When Disney strategists evaluate the park, they don’t worry as much about daily attendance, though.
I realize that statement may surprise you, but Disney’s running a business here.
This business relies on two key components: daily revenue and satisfied customers.
In terms of earnings per customer, Disney has claimed record profits several times over the past 30 months.
Yes, that profit occurred due in large part to price increases combined with the revenge travel phenomenon.
Still, the numbers crystallized a long-held belief by some Disney analysts. Magic Kingdom didn’t need full crowds to make money.
On the contrary, even at a time when three million fewer guests were entering Magic Kingdom, the parks proved remarkably profitable.
Disney learned from that, and it’s making plans based on this intel.
As you should know by now, Magic Kingdom will change dramatically over the next five years or so.
Disney will pave over the Rivers of America and close the Liberty Square Riverboat and Tom Sawyer Island.
Those choices may seem shocking at first, but they make perfect sense once you recognize Disney’s updated business philosophy.
A popular theme park should not feature any wasted space.
You can think of Magic Kingdom in similar terms to Manhattan. Every piece of real estate there is exceedingly valuable.
For this reason, Manhattan developers often try to reinvigorate currently underutilized properties. Otherwise, they’re losing money.
That same thought process applies to Magic Kingdom as well, something we recently learned.
The Country Bear Model
Country Bear Jamboree closed in January 27th, 2024, and then reopened as Country Bear Musical Jamboree on July 17th, 2024.
That change appeared modest at first blush, but it underscored Disney’s new park vision.
Even something as historically significant as Country Bear Jamboree, a Walt Disney creation, was open to changes.
Disney officials carefully describe the new show as a plussing of the old one to demonstrate deference toward the past.
Still, we all know what happened here. Few guests perceived Country Bear Jamboree as anything more than a relic.
So, Imagineers jazzed it up with a new show and thereby brought new life to the space.
The early results indicate that Country Bear Musical Jamboree is roughly three-to-four times more popular than the original.
I doubt that momentum is sustainable long-term, but that’s a side issue.
What matters is that Disney took a less popular piece of real estate and created a new incentive for tourists to visit.
That’s the Country Bear Model, and it’s the blueprint for what happens next.
Disney will soon reclaim the space used by the Rivers of America and Tom Sawyer Island to create something new.
If you’re a loyal Magic Kingdom fan outraged by this move, I fully understand. Change often comes with an opportunity cost.
In this case, we’re all losing a classic riverboat ride and a popular children’s playground area.
Maximizing Value at Magic Kingdom
You may not understand or like the decision, but you’ll understand it when you study a Magic Kingdom map.
The Rivers of America pathway forms a kind of circle-8 pattern that comprises what I’d describe as 15 percent of Magic Kingdom’s developed land.
Disney is wasting that much space on a throwback boat ride and an interactive area.
That’s the equivalent of buying a Manhattan skyscraper to use as a bird habitat. It’s great for the birds but a waste of prime real estate.
When The Walt Disney Company spends $42 billion on theme park expansion, it has one goal in mind.
This expansion aims to increase attendance in a way that doesn’t cause overcrowding.
Disney seeks even distribution of crowds. By expanding, Disney can host more people while keeping them spread out.
In simplest terms, think of a crowd of 50,000 people. Imagine them at an NFL stadium. Now, imagine them at your high school.
You just got a bit claustrophobic, right? Disney doesn’t want that at its theme parks because the guests complain.
Even worse, they’re less likely to return, and Disney’s theme park business model relies on repeat customers.
So, the reasons why you as a Disney fan are excited about expansion are NOT the same reasons why park officials are doing it.
That’s totally fine as long as their goals and your goals align enough for everyone to feel satisfied with the outcome.
I fully expect that will be the case with the Magic Kingdom changes.
On the one hand, Disney will construct an entirely new theme park area behind Big Thunder Mountain and reinvent Frontierland.
While fans smile over the added attractions, Disney monetizes prime real estate that’s currently not used properly.
The Impending Changes at Magic Kingdom
Thus far, we’ve focused on the business side of this conversation. That’s because it matters the most.
You won’t understand what’s happening until you appreciate Disney’s underlying motivation.
Make no mistake on the point. The changes coming to Magic Kingdom signify a business move by Disney.
You’ll still benefit, though. In fact, in future decades, you’ll represent the old guard, those who remember an earlier version of the park.
Once Disney landlocks Rivers of America, everything will work differently.
The next generation of park guests won’t take a maddeningly circuitous path to reach Big Thunder Mountain Railroad.
Instead, they’ll walk straight there because no waterways block the path.
Disney will reinvent this space as a Cars Neighborhood akin to Radiator Springs at Disney California Adventure.
However, as is true with the Pandora area coming to Disneyland Resort, Cars at Frontierland will be its own thing.
The main Cars attraction will be a thrill ride, but it WILL NOT be Radiator Springs Racers.
Instead, Disney will honor the spirit and theme of Frontierland by sending Lightning McQueen on an off-track derby race.
As with Radiator Springs Racers, Disney will add a child-friendly ride as well, which makes sense.
Disney earns a ridiculous amount of money from children’s Cars toys.
A themed land of that at Magic Kingdom is a license to print even more money.
So, that’s the repurposed part of Magic Kingdom you already know.
The Villains Are Coming
At any Disney theme park, the announcement of a Cars area would be cause for celebration.
Even tourists who haven’t visited Radiator Springs at Disney California Adventure have heard of its greatness.
Somehow, that’s only the second-biggest development underway at Magic Kingdom…and it’s really not even close.
Cars will keep families visiting Magic Kingdom in droves, but when the other themed land opens, it’ll be a game-changer.
In the region beyond Big Thunder Mountain, Disney will construct Villains Land, a celebration of Disney Villains.
Fans have been begging for this concept to become a reality for at least a quarter-century.
Disney hasn’t provided many details yet, which is understandable.
The timeline for Villains Land suggests an opening at least five years away.
Park officials must perform tons of demolition and add supporting infrastructure before true construction can begin.
So, you shouldn’t miss the purpose of Disney’s recent announcements.
Magic Kingdom’s Future Is Bold
At the D23 parks panel, Disney confirmed an upcoming change that should arrive within three years, Cars at Frontierland.
Then, Disney Experiences Chairman Josh D’Amaro revealed that Villains Land is underway as well.
Thus, Magic Kingdom has a mid-term goal of Cars and a long-term goal of Villains Land.
Both expansions achieve the same purpose, though. They increase the capacity of Magic Kingdom without adding to the congestion.
Personally, I’d strongly encourage Disney to add at least one and probably two new entrances to prevent the current bottleneck at the entrance.
That’s a side issue, though. Overall, Magic Kingdom has just established a blueprint for its five years of growth.
This plan checks the boxes of Disney officials AND theme park fanatics. We’ll all get something out of it.
The drawback is that some things of value will be lost, but that’s the high cost of progress.
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