‘The Little Mermaid’ Tracking For A $125 Million Opening Weekend
Disney’s The Little Mermaid is set to make a splash this weekend.
The film is trending towards a $125 million Memorial Day weekend return.
Based on those estimates, The Little Mermaid would be the fourth movie this year to cross the $100 million barrier in its debut following The Super Mario Bros. Movie ($146 million), Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 ($118 million) and Ant-Man and The Wasp: Quantumania ($106 million).
A $120 million opening weekend would put the film on par with 2016’s Jungle Book, and behind 2017’s Beauty and the Beast and 2019’s The Lion King. Those films earned $174 million and $191 million, respectively.
Can The Little Mermaid Thrive Overseas?
With a budget close to $250 million, The Little Mermaid will have to put up strong numbers across the globe in order to turn a profit. The film is expected to generate $80 million internationally over the weekend.
While The Little Mermaid‘s prospects look good domestically, the film is having a hard time in China.
So far the film has managed just $13,000 in ticket sales ahead of its impending debut.
That number would make The Little Mermaid one of the biggest Hollywood bombs in that country. By comparison, the last Disney live-action remake, Cruella, managed a $1.6 million opening, on its way to a $23 million total.
Overall the early results seem like a mixed bag for Rob Marshall’s reimagining of the Disney animated classic. With a strong domestic opening, however, if the film can gain some momentum from audience word-of-mouth, Disney may have another live-action hit on its hands.
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